Aston Villa VS Brighton Hove Albion

This Premier League match will be played at Aston Villa's home stadium on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 3:30 a.m. (Manila time, Philippines), with home team Aston Villa playing away team Brighton. The user's prediction direction is "away win", and focuses on the over/under market "under 2.75", with relevant odds of 0.92 and 0.82 respectively.

Aston Villa's recent record analysis: It is necessary to examine its record, goal loss data, home performance and offensive and defensive state in the last 5-6 games in all competitions, especially whether its attacking line efficiency is stable.

Analysis of Brighton's recent performance: It is necessary to examine their record, goal data, away performance and offensive and defensive rhythm in the last 5-6 games in all competitions, focusing on evaluating their away scoring ability and defensive stability.

Comprehensive comparison: Combined with the recent form of the two teams, evaluate the rationality of the "under 2.75 goals" market, and analyze whether Brighton's recent form supports the possibility of their "away win".

records: Statistics on the total score, win-loss relationship and goal distribution of the past few meetings between the two teams, paying special attention to whether there have been multiple small or large scores.

Style restraint analysis: Based on historical matchups, analyze whether the tactical styles of the two teams are mutually restrictive, such as whether they often fall into midfield scuffles that lead to a decrease in scoring chances, which directly affects the prediction of "under 2.75 goals".

Home/Away Factors: Analyze Aston Villa's historical performance at home against Brighton and Brighton's away record at Villa Park to provide historical context for the "away win" prediction.

Analysis of Mainstream Institutional Odds: Analyze the initial odds and real-time odds changes of the current major institutions, and evaluate the probability of Brighton's victory and market popularity implied by the "away win" odds.

In-depth analysis of the Under Under 2.75 market: For the Under 2.75 Goals market, combined with the 0.92 (under) and 0.82 (over) odds provided, interpret the institution's propensity and risk assessment of the total number of goals under or above 2.75 goals.

Odds and fundamentals linkage: Cross-verify the odds data with the recent records and historical head-to-head characteristics of the two teams to determine whether the odds trend is consistent with fundamental information (such as injuries and form).

Comprehensive Victory and Loss Prediction: Based on recent form, historical head-to-head, tactical style and odds data, logical deduction and probability evaluation of the possibility of "away win" are carried out, and clear conclusions are given.

Over/Under market prediction: Based on the offensive efficiency, defensive quality, historical head-to-head goal pattern and over/under odds tendency of the two teams, the prediction of "under 2.75 goals" is analyzed to determine the possibility of its realization.

Risk warning: Point out key variables that may affect the prediction results, such as key player injuries, on-the-spot tactical adjustments, or weather conditions.

This analysis is for sports research purposes only. All predictions are based on public data and historical models, and the actual results of the game are affected by many uncontrollable factors, so please look at them rationally.