Chinese Super League - Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong Taishan
14/04 07:22
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Plan Details
【1X2】15/04 10:30CSL
Qingdao West Coast FC
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan FC
Home Win
3.6
Draw
3.7
Guest Win
1.75
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This odds are at the time of recommendation, not real-time odds
Recommend Reasons
Key Analysis
Strength and Form Comparison
Shandong Taishan: Complete lineup: all five foreigners (Kressan, Zeca, Cazal, etc.) are available to play, and the midfield ‘Iron Triangle’ (Li Yuanyi, Huang Zhengyu, Madruga) is strong in attack and defence.
Recent form: the last round of 4-0 victory over Shenzhen New Pengcheng, the offensive end of the trident grinding maturity, an average of 2.2 goals scored, the defence shutout opponents.
History: Taishan won 4, drew 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 meetings, but were drawn by West Coast last season.
Qingdao West Coast:
Dark horse posture: undefeated in the first 5 rounds with 2 wins and 3 draws, with firepower on the offensive end. The strongest in the Chinese Super League (2.2 goals per game), but lack of defensive stability (1.8 goals conceded per game).
Home field advantage: postponed match with Guoan due to weather, better physical reserves than Taishan, and strong tactical execution (high press + fast counterattack).
Key Win/Loss Variables
Taishan: need to solidify their defence (avoid being overwhelmed by West Coast counter-attacks Tarzan: need to stabilise their defence (avoid being overpowered by West Coast's counter-attacks) and use midfield control to dictate the pace of the game.
West Coast: If they continue their attacking efficiency (e.g. 3-2 against Henan in the last round), they may be able to create threats through the individual abilities of their foreigners, but they need to be wary of physical bottlenecks.
Institutional views and data
Asian handicap of Taishan (-0.5 handicap), ESPN predicts 40% probability of home win and 35% probability of away win, with total shots expected to be 15-18.
The score tends to be 1-1 or 2-1, and the total goals ≤ 222.5 points, which is in line with Taishan's strong attack and West Coast's porous defence.
Summary
Tarzan have the advantage with their depth and midfield control, but with West Coast playing at home and having a strong attack, the game could be a stalemate. If Taishan can make efficient use of counter-attacking opportunities and reduce defensive mistakes, they are expected to take three points away from home.
Score: Qingdao West Coast 1-2 Shandong Taishan
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