Atletico Madrid VS Valencia CF

This La Liga match will be played at 21:00 Beijing time on December 13, 2025, with Atletico Madrid hosting Valencia. The betting direction that users pay attention to is "Over 2.75 Goals", and its corresponding odds are 0.84 (over) and 0.9 (under) respectively.

Atletico Madrid's recent offensive and defensive performance: In the last 5 official games, Atletico Madrid has averaged about 1.8 goals per game and conceded about 0.8 goals, showing strong defensive stability and a certain amount of offensive firepower. Valencia's recent offensive and defensive performance: In the past 5 official games, Valencia has averaged about 1.2 goals per game and conceded about 1.4 goals.

the record of the last five meetings between the two teams shows that Atletico Madrid has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, occupying a psychological advantage. In terms of goals, three of these five games have scored three or more goals, and the head-to-head scene is usually more open, with no shortage of goals, especially at Atletico Madrid's home, where the pace and intensity of the game tend to be higher.

are for "over and under more than 2.75 goals", and the odds offered by the institution are 0.84 for the over ball and 0.9 for the under. This combination of odds suggests a slight favour for the possibility of over 2.75 goals in total (with a lower risk of payouts in the over ball direction), but the advantage is not significant. Combining the recent offensive and defensive data and historical head-to-head characteristics of the two teams, this market setting and odds point to a game where the expected number of goals may fluctuate in the 2-3 goal range.

comprehensive fundamentals and data analysis: Atletico Madrid plays at home, the offensive and defensive system is more mature, and it has the ability to score first; Valencia are unstable defensively on the road, but there is a certain threat on the counter-attack. Historical head-to-head meetings tend to yield more goals. Although the over/under odds are slightly in favor of the big ball, the payout value of 0.84 also reflects a certain amount of caution in playing the big ball. The total number of goals in this game is likely to hover between 2-3 goals, and the betting direction of "over 2.75 goals" will face the risk of being stuck in just 3 goals (half a win) or less than 3 goals (all losses), and the actual probability of playing is basically equal to the risk, not a high-certainty option.

Based on the above analysis, despite the possibility of playing a big ball, the odds advantage is insufficient and the market (2.75 goals) is set accurately, which happens to match the most likely goal range of the two teams, resulting in the expected value of betting on "Over 2.75 goals" is not high, and the risk and reward do not match. It is recommended to take a wait-and-see attitude towards this betting direction.