SV Werder Bremen VS VfB Stuttgart

This Bundesliga match will be played at 02:30 a.m. Beijing time on December 15, 2025, with Werder Bremen hosting Stuttgart. Based on the market provided by the user, this analysis will focus on the "Under 3.25 total goals" option with odds of 1.02 (under) and 0.86 (over) respectively. At the same time, the market odds show that the away team Stuttgart is more favored to win.

Werder Bremen's recent record: It is necessary to examine its goal loss data in the last 5-6 games before the game, focusing on its offensive efficiency and defensive stability. As a team that may be in the middle and lower reaches of the league, its style of play may be conservative, and the ability to score goals at home and the number of goals conceded are the direct basis for evaluating small goals. Stuttgart's recent record: It is necessary to analyze its pre-match form, if it is a league powerhouse, the away attack is strong, but there may also be a decline in goal efficiency in the face of tightly defended opponents. The distribution of total goals in recent matches between the two sides is key to judging the trend of this game.

Werder Bremen vs Stuttgart Head-to-head record: The scores and total goals scored in the past few meetings between the two sides need to be counted in detail. Bundesliga matchups are usually fast-paced, but when it comes to these two teams, whether the historical confrontation tends to open and close or is cautious stalemate will greatly affect the judgment of the probability of small goals. For example, if the total number of goals scored in the last 5 meetings is less than 3 goals in 4 matches, it will provide strong support for "under 3.25".

for "Under 3.25": Odds of 1.02 are at a very low level, which usually means that institutions believe that the probability of total goals under 3.25 is extremely high, but the return rate is extremely low, and there is a "mosquito meat" nature. On the contrary, the odds of "over 3.25" are 0.86, which is also low but in a different direction, which suggests that the institution is not sufficiently prepared for the number of goals, and the overall market depth points to a small ball pattern. The away win odds also prove that Stuttgart has the upper hand, which may focus on controlling the game and winning pragmatically, rather than pursuing big scores.

Prediction: Based on the extremely low small ball odds (1.02) and the away team's dominance, the likelihood of a high score situation in this game is significantly reduced. The predicted scenario could be: the stronger Stuttgart will adopt a solid strategy on the road, trying to control the situation and seize opportunities to score, while Werder Bremen, who are playing at home, may focus on defensive counter-attacks and have limited offensive input. Therefore, the total number of goals is likely to be between 1-2 goals, i.e. the final result tends to be "less than 3.25 total goals". However, the odds of 1.02 mean that the value (return on bet) of this option is extremely low.

Not Recommended Reason: Although the data analysis strongly points in the direction of the small ball, the "Under 3.25" odds as low as 1.02 are a serious risk and reward mismatch. Any unexpected early goals or defensive mistakes can result in lost bets, with the potential gains being almost negligible. This option is not actionable from a bet value perspective. It is recommended to focus on other markets or wait and see.