Benfica VS Napoli

Match time: 2025-12-11T04:00, League: Champions League, home team Benfica at home Estádio da Luz against away team Napoli.

Benfica has been stable in the Portuguese Super League and Champions League recently, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 games, averaging 1.8 goals per game on the offensive end; Napoli has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 games in Serie A and the Champions League, conceding more goals on the defensive end and slightly fluctuating form.

Historically, Benfica and Napoli have met 4 times in Europe, with Benfica slightly inferior with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, but they have won 1-0 at home, showing that they have a certain advantage at home.

Odds Winning Hand odds are 2.4 home wins, 3.4 draws, and 2.8 away wins, with implied probability calculations showing about 41.7% home wins, 29.4% draws, and 35.7% away wins, and the odds structure is slightly biased towards the home team Benfica, reflecting the market's consideration of home factors.

a combination of home advantage, recent record stability and odds tendency, Benfica is expected to beat Napoli at home, most likely with a score of 2-1 or 1-0.

This analysis is based on public data and professional models, is only for the reference of sports event research, and does not constitute any betting advice.