Valencia CF VS RCD Mallorca

This La Liga match will be played at 4:00 a.m. Beijing time on December 20, 2025, with Valencia at home to face Real Mallorca at the Mestalla Stadium. The betting direction that users pay attention to is "Over/Under Under 2.25 Goals", and the corresponding odds combination is under 2.25 odds 1.01 and over 2.25 odds 0.84.

Valencia's recent record has shown the characteristics of strong defense and weak offense, and most of its games have ended in low scores, with a solid defense but average offensive efficiency, and a clear trend of small balls. As an away team, Real Mallorca's tactical style has always focused on defensive counter-attacks, with a compact formation, limited scoring ability, and relatively good control of the number of goals conceded. Both teams' recent style of play tends to be slower and more intense, which provides fundamental support for the results of small-ball games.

Looking back at the past head-to-head records between the two sides, the matches between Valencia and Real Mallorca are usually stalemate with few goals. In the last few meetings, the total number of goals has often been 2 goals or less, and there are few open and closed offensive situations. Historical data suggests that this is a group of matchups that tend to produce small results.

are for "under 2.25 goals", and the agency gave a combination of under 2.25 odds 1.01 and over 2.25 odds 0.84. The extremely low odds of 1.01 intuitively reflect the market's strong expectation that the total number of goals will not exceed 2 goals (i.e. walk or win), and the risk is extremely low but the reward is minimal; The odds over 2.25 are only 0.84, and the payout is extremely low, which further confirms the institution's strong precautionary attitude towards small balls. This odds structure itself is a strong underball signal.

Based on fundamental and data analysis, the probability of a small score result in this game is extremely high. Valencia and Mallorca's tactical style is not radical, and historical confrontations are mostly dull. Combined with the extremely small-ball odds offered by the agency, the total number of goals in the game is likely to be between 0-2 goals, that is, the "under 2.25 goals" option has a high probability of being played. From the perspective of pure data analysis, this direction is highly consistent with various indicators.

While the data prediction is highly pointing towards the small ball, it is important to emphasize that the odds of 1.01 mean that even if the bet is correct, the return is almost negligible, which is not in line with the principles of value investing. There are always unpredictable variables in sporting events, such as early red cards, unexpected goals, etc., and any very low odds option comes with (even small) principal risk. It is recommended to consider this analysis as a judgment of the style of play rather than betting advice. Watch the game rationally and enjoy the game itself.