Real Madrid VS Athletic Club

The match will take place on May 24, 2026 at 03:00 in La Liga, with Real Madrid taking on Athletic Bilbao at the Bernabeu Stadium.

Real Madrid have won 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 league games, averaging 2.8 goals per game, strong offensive firepower and a home win rate of 80%; Athletic Bilbao has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 games, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game, and has a solid defensive performance but low away goal efficiency, averaging only 1.2 goals per game.

10 La Liga meetings in history, Real Madrid has the upper hand with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, of which 4 wins and 1 draw at home remain unbeaten, and the total goals in the last 3 home meetings have exceeded 3 goals, with a 75% probability of a big goal.

3.0 are 0.76 for over and 0.99 for under, indicating that the market is confident that the total number of goals will exceed 3 goals; The odds of home win are not directly given, but based on strength and home advantage, the expected home win odds are in the range of 1.50-1.60.

combines Real Madrid's recent offensive efficiency of 2.8 goals per game and Bilbao's 1.2 goals away from home, and at the same time, the historical head-to-head over-the-top rate is high, and the recommended home win and total number of goals are greater than 3.0; the probability of home win is about 65%, and the probability of over/under and big goals is about 55%.

Although the data favors over-the-top and home wins, Bilbao's defensive resilience and Real Madrid's possible rotation have led to delayed goals, and the 0.76 return rate for over/under is low, so it is recommended to participate with caution and avoid heavy bets on single selections.